Europe - EuroBasket

Greece
07/09/2025 20:45
Israel

Prediction :

 

Greece at -8.5

 

Greece have qualified for the EuroBasket Men’s championships round of 16 and will battle Israel for a place in the quarter-finals. The winner of this tie will set up a showdown with Latvia or Lithuania. Read on to find our prediction for this match.

Greece have qualified for the knockout rounds as one of the four group winners. Vassilis Spanoulis’s men won four of five group matches in Group C, with their only loss being a close 80-77 setback to Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Seeking a first podium finish on the continental stage since 2009, Greece have dominated on both ends of the floor. They sit in the top six in both defence and offence, averaging 70 points in the former and 86 in the latter.

Greece defeated defending champions Spain 90-86 to close out their group campaign.

Israel have ended a decade-long wait for a knockout round appearance at the EuroBasket. Silver medalists in 1979, Israel last qualified out of their group in the 2015 edition.

Coached by Ariel Beit-Halahmy, the Blue and White scraped through Group D, finishing fourth with three wins from five. Israel, who won the most recent meeting with Greece earlier in the year, are coming off a 106-96 loss to Slovenia.

Deni Avdija has been Israel’s go-to guy. He will be key again if they are to secure a first competitive victory over Greece in more than 30 years.

Greece vs Israel Form

Greece and Israel Last Matches

Greece
Greece Last matches
L W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

4 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
86 :  90
Greece

2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
77 :  80
Bosnia & Herzegovina

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
53 :  94
Greece

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Cyprus
69 :  96
Greece

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
75 :  66
Italy

24 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
77 :  92
France
W W W L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
77 :  80
Bosnia & Herzegovina

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
75 :  66
Italy

24 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
77 :  92
France

22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

20 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
104 :  86
Latvia

14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
69 :  61
Montenegro
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

4 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
86 :  90
Greece

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
53 :  94
Greece

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Cyprus
69 :  96
Greece

21 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Czechia
89 :  93
Greece

21 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Great Britain
73 :  72
Greece

6 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Germany
76 :  63
Greece
Israel
Israel Last matches
L W L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

4 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Israel
96 :  106
Slovenia

2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Belgium
89 :  92
Israel

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Israel
82 :  69
France

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Poland
66 :  64
Israel

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Israel
83 :  71
Iceland

17 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Montenegro
88 :  76
Israel
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

4 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Israel
96 :  106
Slovenia

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Israel
82 :  69
France

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Israel
83 :  71
Iceland

24 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Israel
84 :  74
Slovenia

21 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Israel
84 :  78
Portugal

25 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Israel
88 :  75
Ukraine
W W W L L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Belgium
89 :  92
Israel

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Poland
66 :  64
Israel

17 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Montenegro
88 :  76
Israel

10 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
58 :  75
Israel

9 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Cyprus
69 :  109
Israel

23 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Ukraine
73 :  86
Israel

Greece vs Israel Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

10 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
58 :  75
Israel

Greece - Israel Key Points

  1. Greece have won four of their five EuroBasket games.
  2. Israel have lost two of their last four matches.
  3. Greece have the second-best-ranked defence at the EuroBasket.
  4. Israel have allowed 97 points on average in their last two games.
  5. Greece have a +/- rating of 15.6 points at the EuroBasket.

Our Greece vs Israel Prediction

In our Greece vs Israel prediction, we have Greece at -8.5. Greece have been in great form at this year’s EuroBasket championships and only once have they failed to win in five outings. With Israel showing signs of inconsistency, Greece have a bigger chance of coming out of this tie and making the quarter-finals.

Led by Giannis Antetokounmpo, Greece have excelled on both ends of the court. They have outscored teams by an average of 15 points, with their defensive rating only bettered by one other team. The likely unavailability of Alex Samodurov, one of their defensive anchors, could see Israel make this one a contest. But Greece should have too much firepower to see things through.