World - World Cup

Nigeria
06/09/2025 18:00
Rwanda

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 

Nigeria will welcome the inclusion of foreign-based players to their camp as the World Cup qualifiers return, with a home game against Rwanda. We have a prediction for the Group C match below.

Nigeria had a dismal showing at CHAN, failing to advance past their group. This is, therefore, a chance to restate their position in African football.

While they have the head-to-head advantage, the Super Eagles haven't been really dominant in this fixture, winning just three of their total nine meetings.

Nigeria actually lost 2-1 to Rwanda the last time they hosted this match. That was back in November 2024, but they avenged it with an away win of their own in March this year. Victor Osimhen’s brace secured the 2-0 win.

Rwanda will look to tap into the inspiration from their last visit to Nigeria. They have had a good start to these qualifiers, and a win here will open a four-point gap from their hosts.

The Rwandese trail the leaders, South Africa, by five points, and at best they can target a second-place finish to try and advance to the playoffs. They are currently ninth on that list, with the top four set to get the second bite at the cherry.

Rwanda will be disappointed at having collected just one point from the last two qualification matches, both at home. They come here winless in four straight outings, having lost three, the most recent a 2-0 reverse against Algeria.

Nigeria vs Rwanda Form

Nigeria and Rwanda's standings in the World Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Rwanda
Rwanda
8 6 2 2 2 0
4
Nigeria
Nigeria
7 6 1 4 1 1

Nigeria and Rwanda Last Matches

Nigeria
Nigeria Last matches
W D D L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Nigeria
2 :  0
Congo Republic

12 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
4 :  0
Nigeria

5 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Senegal
1 :  0
Nigeria

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Russia
1 :  1
Nigeria

31 May 2025 - International Friendlies

Jamaica
2 :  2
Nigeria

28 May 2025 - International Friendlies

Ghana
1 :  2
Nigeria
D W W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Nigeria
2 :  0
Congo Republic

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
1 :  1
Zimbabwe

18 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Nigeria
1 :  2
Rwanda

11 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Nigeria
1 :  0
Libya

7 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Nigeria
3 :  0
Benin

7 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Nigeria
1 :  1
South Africa
W W D D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
4 :  0
Nigeria

5 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Senegal
1 :  0
Nigeria

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Russia
1 :  1
Nigeria

31 May 2025 - International Friendlies

Jamaica
2 :  2
Nigeria

28 May 2025 - International Friendlies

Ghana
1 :  2
Nigeria

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Rwanda
0 :  2
Nigeria
Rwanda
Rwanda Last matches
L W L D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Algeria
2 :  0
Rwanda

5 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Algeria
2 :  0
Rwanda

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Rwanda
1 :  1
Lesotho

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Rwanda
0 :  2
Nigeria

18 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Nigeria
1 :  2
Rwanda

14 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Rwanda
0 :  1
Libya
W D W L L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Rwanda
1 :  1
Lesotho

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Rwanda
0 :  2
Nigeria

14 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Rwanda
0 :  1
Libya

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Rwanda
2 :  1
Benin

10 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Rwanda
0 :  0
Nigeria

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Rwanda
2 :  0
South Africa
W D L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Algeria
2 :  0
Rwanda

5 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Algeria
2 :  0
Rwanda

18 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Nigeria
1 :  2
Rwanda

11 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Benin
3 :  0
Rwanda

4 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Libya
1 :  1
Rwanda

11 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Lesotho
0 :  1
Rwanda

Nigeria vs Rwanda Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Nigeria

33 %

Draw

33 %

Rwanda

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67
Total goals
33%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (home team)
0.67
Goals scored (away team)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Rwanda
0 :  2
Nigeria

18 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Nigeria
1 :  2
Rwanda

10 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Rwanda
0 :  0
Nigeria

Nigeria - Rwanda Key Points

  1. Rwanda’s last five outings produced a total of 11 goals.
  2. Rwanda failed to score in three of their last four matches.
  3. Four of Nigeria’s last six matches produced under 2.5 goals.
  4. Nigeria kept clean sheets in five of their last six meetings with Rwanda.
  5. Eight of nine meetings between these two nations had under 2.5 goals.

Our Nigeria vs Rwanda Prediction

These two sides are familiar foes, this being their 10th meeting, a fixture dominated by Nigeria. The one outstanding stat about this game is how it has, over time, been a low-scoring one. Only once in the previous nine meetings has this encounter had more than two goals.

Ahead of the match also, the two nations haven't been scoring a lot. Rwanda, who won on their last visit to Nigeria, scored only once in their last four outings. In the goals market, our prediction for Nigeria v Rwanda is for under 2.5.